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Olaplex: Olaplex Holdings' Transformative Year: A Review of 2025 and Outlook for 2026

Olaplex Holdings reported a flat revenue of $423 million for the full year 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.2%. The fourth quarter saw a 4.3% year-over-year increase in net sales to $105.1 million, driven by strong holiday performance across professional and direct-to-consumer channels. The company's adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $12.9 million, representing a 12.2% margin. The earnings per share (EPS) came in at -$0.01966, missing estimates of $0.00739.

OLPX

USD 1.345

-8.19%

A-Score: 3.4/10

Publication date: March 5, 2026

Author: Analystock.ai

📋 Highlights
  • Q4 Revenue Growth: Net sales rose 4.3% YoY to $105.1 million in Q4 2025.
  • Full-Year EBITDA Margin: Adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.2% ($93.9 million) for 2025.
  • Professional Channel Expansion: Professional sales surged 18.9% YoY to $36.8 million in Q4.
  • 2026 Guidance: Net sales projected at -2% to +3% YoY, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 21-22%.
  • SG&A Stability: Adjusted SG&A increased $40.8 million YoY in 2025 but expected to remain flat in 2026.

Segment Performance and Strategic Shifts

The professional channel saw an 18.9% year-over-year increase in sales for the fourth quarter, driven by innovation and strong participation in global holiday events. In contrast, specialty retail declined 14.5% year over year due to the company's strategic pivot towards professional partners. Direct-to-consumer sales increased 6.6% year over year, with the company successfully capturing demand around key shopping events. According to Catherine Dunleavy, "We deliberately shifted international volume towards the professional channel as a primary growth engine."

Guidance for 2026 and Key Initiatives

Olaplex expects net sales in 2026 to be in the range of approximately -2% to +3% versus fiscal year 2025. The company is focusing on energizing its hero products, fueling science-based innovation, and expanding its diversified go-to-market model. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 21% to 22%. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 2.8%, indicating a relatively stable outlook.

Valuation Metrics and Investment Considerations

With a Price-to-Sales Ratio of 2.31 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.77, Olaplex's valuation appears reasonable considering its growth prospects. However, the negative ROE of -1.05% and a low ROIC of 0.5% indicate room for improvement in terms of profitability. As the company continues to execute its transformation plan, investors will be watching for progress in these areas.

Olaplex's A-Score